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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,393 of 84,120 nationally

East Richmond Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06013369002 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 2,728 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

06013369002 is a census tract in the East Richmond area of San Pablo, CA. It scores 8.9/10 for landlords. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.

Risk score
8.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 26% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,032
Renter share51.4%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate11.9%
Median income$83,929

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 8 tracts In East Richmond
High
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 7 tracts In Richmond
Low
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#23 of 241 tracts In Contra Costa
Very High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#1,974 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.9587, -122.3237 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Richmond scores 8.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
11.9% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$2,076 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
6.7

How East Richmond compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Richmond risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.9This tracttract 3690027.8Richmondparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Richmond. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Richmond

It sits 2.1 points above the Contra Costa County average of 6.8. Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

Nationally it ranks #4,393 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 50% of renters. Average gross rent is $2,076, close to the San Pablo average.

Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $83,929. 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013369002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013369002?

Census tract 06013369002 in the East Richmond neighborhood scores 8.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06013369002?

Median gross rent is $2,076/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013369002?

11.9% of residents in tract 06013369002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,728.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013369002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 52th, minority 73th, housing 33th.
Q5

Is tract 06013369002 considered part of East Richmond?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06013369002 fall within East Richmond (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06013369002 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06013369002 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 06013369002 scores 8.9/10, higher than the parent city of Richmond at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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