Census Tract · Ranked #4,782 of 84,120 nationally

Antioch Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06013307202 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 4,481

Antioch in Contra Costa County is where census tract 06013307202 sits, home to 4,481 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.4/10. That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 60% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,890 a month while the average household earns $58,672 a year, roughly 39% of income at the averages. Renters make up 82% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 49% Stable renters 33% Owners 18%

Tract context

Occupied units1,530

Renter share82.1%

SVI overall0.96

Poverty rate21.1%

Median income$58,672

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Antioch and the region

Centroid at 38.0037, -121.8278 · click any tract to drill in

Why Antioch scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Antioch

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

21.1% poverty · this tract

5.3

Supply constraint

$1,890 rent vs county FMR

2.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Antioch

8.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Antioch

7.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Antioch

7.1

How Antioch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

98%Socioeconomic
98%Household composition
90%Racial/ethnic minority
62%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

30.1%Housing insecurity
16.9%Utility-shutoff threat
36.0%Food insecurity
36.3%SNAP enrollment
18.9%Transit barriers
16.8%No health insurance
23.5%Frequent mental distress
38.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Antioch

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Antioch eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Contra Costa County average of 5.7 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 30.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013307202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013307202?

Census tract 06013307202 in Antioch scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06013307202?

Median gross rent is $1,890/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013307202?

21.1% of residents in tract 06013307202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,481.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013307202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 98th, minority 90th, housing 62th.

What share of households in tract 06013307202 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06013307202 compare to Antioch overall?

Tract 06013307202 scores 7/10, lower than the parent city of Antioch at 8.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Antioch eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Antioch

Top eight tracts in Antioch ranked by composite eviction-risk score.