Census Tract · Ranked #3,797 of 84,120 nationally

Antioch Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06013307201 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 4,224

06013307201 is a census tract in Antioch, CA. It scores 9.1/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 45%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

9.1

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 15% Owners 54%

Tract context

Occupied units1,169

Renter share46.3%

SVI overall0.98

Poverty rate21.3%

Median income$62,837

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Antioch and the region

Centroid at 38.0025, -121.8486 · click any tract to drill in

Why Antioch scores 9.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Antioch

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

21.3% poverty · this tract

5.3

Supply constraint

$1,709 rent vs county FMR

1.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Antioch

8.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Antioch

7.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Antioch

7.1

How Antioch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

92%Socioeconomic
93%Household composition
83%Racial/ethnic minority
98%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

23.1%Housing insecurity
11.9%Utility-shutoff threat
28.1%Food insecurity
25.9%SNAP enrollment
14.5%Transit barriers
16.5%No health insurance
20.6%Frequent mental distress
36.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Antioch

Against Contra Costa County at 48.7%, 67% of renters here are cost-burdened. Against the Contra Costa County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points.

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.4/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10. Set annual rent against average income of $62,837 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

At $1,709 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Antioch commands. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

SNAP participation runs 25.9% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10. Housing insecurity runs 23.1% against 14.2% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013307201

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013307201?

Census tract 06013307201 in Antioch scores 9.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06013307201?

Median gross rent is $1,709/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013307201?

21.3% of residents in tract 06013307201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,224.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013307201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 93th, minority 83th, housing 98th.

What share of households in tract 06013307201 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06013307201 compare to Antioch overall?

Tract 06013307201 scores 9.1/10, higher than the parent city of Antioch at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Antioch eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Antioch

Top eight tracts in Antioch ranked by composite eviction-risk score.