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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

Positano at San Marco Eviction Risk: Elevated , Bay Point

Tract 06013314105 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 3,958 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of 7.9/10, tract 06013314105 in the Positano at San Marco area of Bay Point, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,958. Cost burden runs 33% here against 48.7% across Contra Costa County.

Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 32% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,292
Renter share46.8%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate4.8%
Median income$62,188

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Positano at San Marco
Very High
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Bay Point
Very Low
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#62 of 241 tracts In Contra Costa
Elevated
Within state
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#3,732 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bay Point and the region

Centroid at 38.0234, -121.9515 · click any tract to drill in

Why Positano at San Marco scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bay Point
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.8% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,845 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bay Point
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bay Point
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bay Point
6.4

How Positano at San Marco compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Positano at San Marco risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.9This tracttract 3141057.0Bay Pointparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Positano at San Marco. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Positano at San Marco

The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.2/10. Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $62,188, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.9/10.

Against the Contra Costa County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Housing insecurity runs 21.2% against 14.2% nationally.

Average gross rent is $1,845, 11% below the Bay Point average. That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013314105

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013314105?

Census tract 06013314105 in the Positano at San Marco neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06013314105?

Median gross rent is $1,845/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013314105?

4.8% of residents in tract 06013314105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,958.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013314105?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 80th, minority 90th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 06013314105 considered part of Positano at San Marco?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06013314105 fall within Positano at San Marco (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06013314105 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06013314105 compare to Bay Point overall?

Tract 06013314105 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Bay Point at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bay Point; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bay Point

Top eight tracts in Bay Point ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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