Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #6,289 of 84,120 nationally

Bay Point Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06013314106 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 4,176 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Bay Point

Census tract 06013314106 runs through Bay Point. With 4,176 residents, it scores $1/10 for landlords. It lands near the 76th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,249 a month while the average household earns $71,841 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 50% of occupied homes.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 27% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,083
Renter share49.8%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate19.8%
Median income$71,841

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Bay Point
Very High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#17 of 241 tracts In Contra Costa
Very High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#2,572 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#6,289 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bay Point and the region

Centroid at 38.0229, -121.9351 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bay Point scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bay Point
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.8% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,249 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bay Point
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bay Point
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bay Point
6.4

How Bay Point compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bay Point risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.76.7This tracttract 314106Bay Point: 8.38.3Bay Pointparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bay Point

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bay Point, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Contra Costa County average of 5.7 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 25.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013314106

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013314106?

Census tract 06013314106 in Bay Point scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06013314106?

Median gross rent is $1,249/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013314106?

19.8% of residents in tract 06013314106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,176.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013314106?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 72th, minority 92th, housing 79th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06013314106 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06013314106 compare to Bay Point overall?

Tract 06013314106 scores 6.7/10, lower than the parent city of Bay Point at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bay Point; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bay Point

Top eight tracts in Bay Point ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related