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Census Tract · Ranked #6,848 of 84,120 nationally

Bay Point Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06013314103 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 5,554

Census tract 06013314103 sits in Bay Point in Contra Costa County, California eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 6.2/10. On the national scale it ranks #15,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 60% of renter households, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,982 a month against an average household income of $79,468 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 25% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,551
Renter share61.6%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate19.1%
Median income$79,468

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Bay Point
Elevated
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#18 of 241 tracts In Contra Costa
Very High
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#2,728 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#6,848 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bay Point and the region

Centroid at 38.0411, -121.9444 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bay Point scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bay Point
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.1% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,982 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bay Point
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bay Point
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bay Point
6.4

How Bay Point compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bay Point risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.66.6This tracttract 314103Bay Point: 8.38.3Bay Pointparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bay Point

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bay Point, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Contra Costa County average of 5.7 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 25.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013314103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013314103?

Census tract 06013314103 in Bay Point scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06013314103?

Median gross rent is $1,982/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013314103?

19.1% of residents in tract 06013314103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,554.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013314103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 81th, minority 90th, housing 78th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06013314103 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06013314103 compare to Bay Point overall?

Tract 06013314103 scores 6.6/10, lower than the parent city of Bay Point at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bay Point; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bay Point

Top eight tracts in Bay Point ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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