Bay Point Eviction Risk: High

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.

18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 1.6 points above the Contra Costa County average of 6.8. Food insecurity runs 31.0% against 17.8% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 25.0% against 14.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Nationally it ranks #5,730 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.2/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 46% of renters.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.