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Census Tract · Ranked #5,730 of 84,120 nationally

Bay Point Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06013314103 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 5,554

Census tract 06013314103 covers part of Bay Point, CA, and scores 8.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,554 residents. Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
8.4
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 25% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,551
Renter share61.6%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate19.1%
Median income$79,468

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Bay Point
Low
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#42 of 241 tracts In Contra Costa
High
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#2,744 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#5,730 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bay Point and the region

Centroid at 38.0411, -121.9444 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bay Point scores 8.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bay Point
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.1% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,982 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bay Point
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bay Point
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bay Point
6.4

How Bay Point compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bay Point risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.4This tracttract 3141037.0Bay Pointparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bay Point

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Contra Costa County average of 48.7%.

It sits 1.6 points above the Contra Costa County average of 6.8. SNAP participation runs 28.0% against 15.2% nationally.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.4/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Adults with no health insurance runs 19.3% against 11.3% nationally. Nationally it ranks #5,730 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013314103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013314103?

Census tract 06013314103 in Bay Point scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06013314103?

Median gross rent is $1,982/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013314103?

19.1% of residents in tract 06013314103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,554.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013314103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 81th, minority 90th, housing 78th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06013314103 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06013314103 compare to Bay Point overall?

Tract 06013314103 scores 8.4/10, higher than the parent city of Bay Point at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bay Point; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bay Point

Top eight tracts in Bay Point ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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