Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Herndon Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fresno

Tract 06019004215 · Fresno, CA · pop 4,342 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

The Herndon area of Fresno anchors census tract 06019004215, which lands at $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

63% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,003 monthly, set against $94,199 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 11% Owners 70%

Tract context

Occupied units1,431

Renter share30.7%

SVI overall0.70

Poverty rate6.2%

Median income$94,199

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fresno and the region

Centroid at 36.8307, -119.8992 · click any tract to drill in

Why Herndon scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Fresno

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

6.2% poverty · this tract

1.6

Supply constraint

$2,003 rent vs county FMR

8.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Fresno

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Fresno

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Fresno

6.5

How Herndon compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

71%Socioeconomic
53%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
58%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Herndon. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.0%Housing insecurity
7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
17.5%Food insecurity
14.1%SNAP enrollment
9.1%Transit barriers
9.8%No health insurance
17.4%Frequent mental distress
30.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Herndon

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 8.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fresno eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Fresno County average of 6.0 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06019004215

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06019004215?

Census tract 06019004215 in the Herndon neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06019004215?

Median gross rent is $2,003/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06019004215?

6.2% of residents in tract 06019004215 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,342.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06019004215?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 53th, minority 78th, housing 58th.

Is tract 06019004215 considered part of Herndon?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06019004215 fall within Herndon (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06019004215 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06019004215 compare to Fresno overall?

Tract 06019004215 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Fresno at 8.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fresno eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fresno

Top eight tracts in Fresno ranked by composite eviction-risk score.