Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Herndon Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fresno

Tract 06019004218 · Fresno, CA · pop 8,340 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

06019004218 is a census tract in the Herndon area of Fresno, CA. It scores 5.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 8,340. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 5% Owners 89%

Tract context

Occupied units2,253

Renter share10.9%

SVI overall0.27

Poverty rate11.3%

Median income$127,962

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fresno and the region

Centroid at 36.8189, -119.9187 · click any tract to drill in

Why Herndon scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Fresno

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

11.3% poverty · this tract

2.8

Supply constraint

$2,713 rent vs county FMR

10.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Fresno

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Fresno

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Fresno

6.5

How Herndon compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

38%Socioeconomic
48%Household composition
83%Racial/ethnic minority
6%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Herndon. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.1%Housing insecurity
7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
17.3%Food insecurity
13.8%SNAP enrollment
8.7%Transit barriers
8.9%No health insurance
16.1%Frequent mental distress
28.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Herndon

The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Average gross rent is $2,713, 91% above the Fresno average. The voucher gap is 80.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

It sits 1.3 points below the Fresno County average of 6.9. Cost burden runs 56% here against 49.3% across Fresno County. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.8/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10. On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 3.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06019004218

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06019004218?

Census tract 06019004218 in the Herndon neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06019004218?

Median gross rent is $2,713/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06019004218?

11.3% of residents in tract 06019004218 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,340.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06019004218?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 48th, minority 83th, housing 6th.

Is tract 06019004218 considered part of Herndon?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06019004218 fall within Herndon (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06019004218 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06019004218 compare to Fresno overall?

Tract 06019004218 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Fresno at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fresno eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fresno

Top eight tracts in Fresno ranked by composite eviction-risk score.