Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Housing insecurity runs 35.6% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 39%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

At $952 a month, rents run 35% under what the rest of Bakersfield commands. 79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Adults with no health insurance runs 26.6% against 11.3% nationally. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.9/10.

Against the Kern County average of 6.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. 54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Kern County average of 49.2%.

That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $47,063.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.