Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06029003207 · Kern, CA · pop 5,013

Census tract 06029003207 covers part of Bakersfield, CA, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,013 residents. Cost burden runs 40% here against 49.2% across Kern County.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 30% Owners 50%

Tract context

Occupied units1,029

Renter share49.3%

SVI overall0.73

Poverty rate10.3%

Median income$86,185

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.2889, -119.0204 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

10.3% poverty · this tract

2.6

Supply constraint

$1,712 rent vs county FMR

7.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

87%Socioeconomic
79%Household composition
93%Racial/ethnic minority
18%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

27.6%Housing insecurity
13.4%Utility-shutoff threat
33.8%Food insecurity
28.8%SNAP enrollment
16.5%Transit barriers
22.9%No health insurance
21.1%Frequent mental distress
38.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

The voucher gap is 24.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. SNAP participation runs 28.8% against 15.2% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 27.6% against 14.2% nationally. Against the Kern County average of 6.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.4 points.

The dominant input is supply constraint at 7.4/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.6/10.

The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. At $1,712 a month, rents run 16% over what the rest of Bakersfield commands.

That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.5 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029003207

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029003207?

Census tract 06029003207 in Bakersfield scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06029003207?

Median gross rent is $1,712/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029003207?

10.3% of residents in tract 06029003207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,013.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029003207?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 79th, minority 93th, housing 18th.

What share of households in tract 06029003207 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029003207 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029003207 scores 5/10, lower than the parent city of Bakersfield at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.