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Neighborhood · Carson, CA

Lincoln Village Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 10,959 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.8/10 · range 5.3–9.7

Lincoln Village spans 2 census tracts of Carson, CA and houses 10,959 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 6.8/10, Elevated tier. Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 5.3 to 9.7. A 4.4-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

Against a Carson baseline of 31.9%, 41% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. 21% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 7.8/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.3/10. Average gross rent is $2,300, 18% above the Carson average of $1,956.

Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 7/10. Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Carson, it ranks #2 by risk, the middle third. At 27% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

For a like-for-like read, Avalon Village and Dominguez score within a fraction of it. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $97,584.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 4.4 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Lincoln Village vs Carson How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
41.0% +29%
Carson: 31.9%
Average gross rent
$2,300 +18%
Carson: $1,956
Average HH income
$97,584 -9%
Carson: $107,391
Poverty rate
8.2% -9%
Carson: 9.0%
Renter share
27.4% +6%
Carson: 26.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.3–9.7

Why Lincoln Village scores 6.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–8.5 across tracts
7.8
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 7.2–9.0 across tracts
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.3–8.5 across tracts
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
27% renter households · Range 5.8–8.0 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–8.5 across tracts
6.9
Economic stress
8.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.9 across tracts
2.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.9–4.7 across tracts
3.7
Risk score comparison

Lincoln Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lincoln Village score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Lincoln Village: 6.86.8Lincoln VillageNeighborhoodParent city: 6.76.7Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Lincoln Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06037572301 9.7 3,728 51% $1,814
06037543306 5.3 7,231 36% $2,550
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 70

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 54%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 43%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 91%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 82%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lincoln Village

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lincoln Village

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lincoln Village?

Lincoln Village scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lincoln Village compare to Carson overall?

Lincoln Village scores 0.1 points higher than Carson overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,300 vs $1,956.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lincoln Village?

Average gross rent in Lincoln Village is $2,300/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lincoln Village residents are renters?

27% of Lincoln Village households are renter-occupied (vs 26% in Carson). The neighborhood has 10,959 residents.
Q5

Is Lincoln Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Lincoln Village sits in the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lincoln Village have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lincoln Village is census tract 06037572301 (score 9.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 9.7, a spread of 4.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Lincoln Village for landlords?

Lincoln Village carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Carson as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lincoln Village?

Lincoln Village has 10,630 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (43.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (25.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lincoln Village

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Carson

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lincoln Village.

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