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Neighborhood · Carson, CA

Avalon Village Eviction Risk: Elevated

13 census tracts · pop 49,025 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.6/10 · range 5.3–9.9

Avalon Village is a 13-tract neighborhood of Carson, CA and houses 49,025 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.6/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.3 to 9.9, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

57% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Carson rate of 31.9%. The severe-burden share is 32%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 7.7/10.

At $1,602 a month, rents sit 18% under what the rest of Carson commands. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.8/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.9/10.

That places it #3 of 4 neighborhoods in Carson. The closest comparables inside the same city are Lincoln Village and Keystone.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Against average income of $105,731, annual rent is only 18%, a wide affordability cushion.

34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 4.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
13 tracts · population-weighted
Avalon Village vs Carson How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.6% +77%
Carson: 31.9%
Average gross rent
$1,602 -18%
Carson: $1,956
Average HH income
$105,731 -2%
Carson: $107,391
Poverty rate
11.0% +22%
Carson: 9.0%
Renter share
34.3% +32%
Carson: 26.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Avalon Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 13 tracts span score 5.3–9.9

Why Avalon Village scores 6.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–9.5 across tracts
7.9
Rent control risk
57% of income on rent · Range 7.2–10.0 across tracts
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.3–9.5 across tracts
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
34% renter households · Range 5.8–9.5 across tracts
6.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–9.0 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
11.0% below poverty line · Range 1.2–5.5 across tracts
2.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–5.7 across tracts
2.9
Risk score comparison

Avalon Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Avalon Village score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Avalon Village: 6.66.6Avalon VillageNeighborhoodParent city: 6.76.7Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Avalon Village?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 4.6 points from 5.3 to 9.9. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

13 tracts in Avalon Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06037294200 9.9 4,668 64% $1,228
06037294110 9.9 3,938 57% $1,717
06037543804 6.7 4,243 47% $1,813
06037980037 6.7
06037543905 6.6 4,556 56% $2,193
06037543803 6.6 4,232 75%
06037543705 5.8 3,318 52% $1,813
06037543601 5.7 4,635 39% $1,766
06037543607 5.6 5,123 79% $2,191
06037543704 5.6 3,227 73% $2,169
06037543703 5.3 4,137 45% $1,752
06037543903 5.3 3,852 36%
06037543701 5.3 3,096 51% $2,801
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 76

Pop-weighted across 13 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 70%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 60%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 93%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 65%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Avalon Village

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Avalon Village

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Avalon Village?

Avalon Village scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 13 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Avalon Village compare to Carson overall?

Avalon Village scores 0.1 points lower than Carson overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,602 vs $1,956.
Q3

What is the average rent in Avalon Village?

Average gross rent in Avalon Village is $1,602/month (pop-weighted across 13 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Avalon Village residents are renters?

34% of Avalon Village households are renter-occupied (vs 26% in Carson). The neighborhood has 49,025 residents.
Q5

Is Avalon Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Avalon Village sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Avalon Village have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Avalon Village is census tract 06037294200 (score 9.9/10). Across the 13 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 9.9, a spread of 4.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Avalon Village for landlords?

Avalon Village carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.6/10). Pop-weighted across 13 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Carson as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Avalon Village?

Avalon Village has 48,507 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (55.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (28.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (6.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Avalon Village

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Carson

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Avalon Village.

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