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Neighborhood · Ranked #5,413 of 84,120 nationally

South Carthay Eviction Risk: High , Los Angeles

Tract 06037700802 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 4,036 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

With a score of 8.5/10, tract 06037700802 in the South Carthay area of Beverly Hills, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,036 residents. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 33% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,880
Renter share69.3%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate14.6%
Median income$116,851

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 7 tracts In South Carthay
Low
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Los Angeles
High
Within county
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#1,348 of 2,495 tracts In Los Angeles
Moderate
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#2,547 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Los Angeles and the region

Centroid at 34.0684, -118.3821 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Carthay scores 8.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Los Angeles
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
14.6% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$2,761 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Los Angeles
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Los Angeles
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Los Angeles
6.3

How South Carthay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Carthay risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.58.5This tracttract 700802Los Angeles: 9.89.8Los Angelesparent cityCounty: 8.48.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Carthay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Carthay

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. 69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.7/10.

On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Food insecurity runs 9.7% against 17.8% nationally.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Los Angeles. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Rent takes 30% or more of income for about half of renters.

It tracks the Los Angeles County average of 8.4 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037700802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037700802?

Census tract 06037700802 in the South Carthay neighborhood scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06037700802?

Median gross rent is $2,761/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037700802?

14.6% of residents in tract 06037700802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,036.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037700802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 50th, minority 52th, housing 66th.
Q5

Is tract 06037700802 considered part of South Carthay?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037700802 fall within South Carthay (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06037700802 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06037700802 compare to Los Angeles overall?

Tract 06037700802 scores 8.5/10, lower than the parent city of Los Angeles at 9.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Los Angeles eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06037700802 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Los Angeles

Top eight tracts in Los Angeles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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