Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Toluca Lake Eviction Risk: High , Los Angeles

Tract 06037125321 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 2,761 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

06037125321 is a census tract in the Toluca Lake area of Los Angeles, CA. It scores 9.9/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 70% Stable renters 23% Owners 7%

Tract context

Occupied units1,449

Renter share92.8%

SVI overall0.63

Poverty rate14.8%

Median income$61,625

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Los Angeles and the region

Centroid at 34.1667, -118.3651 · click any tract to drill in

Why Toluca Lake scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.2

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

14.8% poverty · this tract

3.7

Supply constraint

$2,136 rent vs county FMR

3.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Los Angeles

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

9.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.0

How Toluca Lake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

80%Socioeconomic
18%Household composition
68%Racial/ethnic minority
56%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
93%Grade C
7%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Toluca Lake. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.7%Housing insecurity
8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
18.7%Food insecurity
18.4%SNAP enrollment
10.5%Transit barriers
8.5%No health insurance
18.6%Frequent mental distress
28.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Toluca Lake

Against Los Angeles County at 53.8%, 75% of renters here are cost-burdened. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. This is renter territory: 93% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Running hot, local political climate reads 9.5/10. Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income of $61,625, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 9.5/10. Against the Los Angeles County average of 8.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points. Average gross rent is $2,136, 11% above the Los Angeles average.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Los Angeles. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.7/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037125321

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037125321?

Census tract 06037125321 in the Toluca Lake neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06037125321?

Median gross rent is $2,136/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037125321?

14.8% of residents in tract 06037125321 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,761.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037125321?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 18th, minority 68th, housing 56th.

Is tract 06037125321 considered part of Toluca Lake?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037125321 fall within Toluca Lake (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06037125321 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06037125321 compare to Los Angeles overall?

Tract 06037125321 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Los Angeles at 9.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Los Angeles eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06037125321 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 7% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Los Angeles

Top eight tracts in Los Angeles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.