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Livingston, California eviction risk overview
City brief · 14,606 residents

Livingston, CA Eviction Risk: ELEVATED

Merced County · Population 14,606

In 2026
Risk score
5.7
ELEVATED

37th percentile, California.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.6 Average3.7 Now5.7
10 5 1976 · score 1.6 1977 · score 1.6 1978 · score 1.6 1979 · score 1.7 1980 · score 1.7 1981 · score 1.8 1982 · score 1.8 1983 · score 1.8 1984 · score 1.8 1985 · score 1.8 1986 · score 1.8 1987 · score 1.8 1988 · score 2.0 1989 · score 2.0 1990 · score 2.1 1991 · score 2.2 1992 · score 2.8 1993 · score 2.8 1994 · score 2.9 1995 · score 2.9 1996 · score 3.0 1997 · score 3.1 1998 · score 3.1 1999 · score 3.2 2000 · score 3.3 2001 · score 3.4 2002 · score 3.5 2003 · score 3.5 2004 · score 3.5 2005 · score 3.5 2006 · score 3.6 2007 · score 3.7 2008 · score 4.5 2009 · score 4.7 2010 · score 4.7 2011 · score 4.8 2012 · score 4.8 2013 · score 4.9 2014 · score 5.1 2015 · score 5.2 2016 · score 5.6 2017 · score 5.8 2018 · score 6.0 2019 · score 6.2 2020 · score 7.1 2021 · score 7.1 2022 · score 7.1 2023 · score 7.1 2024 · score 6.8 2025 · score 5.8 2026 · score 5.7

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 6.0 Regional 6.0 State 6.8 Economic 8.0 Supply 7.9 Rent Control 4.3 Eviction 6.5 Tenant 8.3 Housing 5.7 5.7 ELEVATED
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +4.4% (2024)
    6.0
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    6.0
  3. State political climate
    California legislature & governorship
    6.8
  4. Economic stress
    15.8% poverty · 10.8% unemp.
    8.0
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,315 average · 37.4% renters
    7.9
  6. Rent Control risk
    28.3% of income on rent
    4.3
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    251 days filing → judgment
    6.5
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    37.4% renters
    8.3
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    5.7
Geographic context

Risk heat across Livingston and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Livingston compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Merced County
Very Low
#24 of 24 cities
Rank in county, 0th percentileBottomTop
#24 of 24 cities in Merced County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in California
Low
#1033 of 1,594 cities
Rank in state, 35th percentileBottomTop
#1033 of 1,594 cities in California for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Livingston risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Livingston: 5.75.7LivingstonThis cityCounty: 6.56.5Countyavg in countyState: 7.27.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 5.7
    / 10 · ELEVATED
    The verdict

    A Elevated-tier market.

    Composite 5.7/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+4.1 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 251d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,315/mo. A contested eviction takes 251 days and costs $14,210-$31,533 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 37.4%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 14,606 residents, 37.4% rent. 28% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 15.8% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 6
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 6 and 6 (GOP margin +4.4% (2024)). State climate at 6.8, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 6.8
    State politics
    The process

    Long calendar, heavy friction.

    State political climate 6.8/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.5, housing court bias 5.7, rent-control risk 4.3. The slow part is the calendar, not the motion practice.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.5 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 8
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the real risk.

    Economic stress: 8. Supply constraint: 7.9. The numbers behind those: 15.8% poverty, 10.8% unemployment, 28% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Livingston sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Modesto, CA · 262d · ~$25.5k all-in ($97/day) · score 6.9 Modesto Tracy, CA · 295d · ~$23.0k all-in ($78/day) · score 6.4 Tracy Merced, CA · 283d · ~$26.9k all-in ($95/day) · score 6.6 Merced Manteca, CA · 255d · ~$23.1k all-in ($91/day) · score 6.4 Manteca Turlock, CA · 255d · ~$27.3k all-in ($107/day) · score 6.4 Turlock Madera, CA · 256d · ~$24.1k all-in ($94/day) · score 5.6 Madera Los Angeles, CA · 273d · ~$22.4k all-in ($82/day) · score 10 Los Angeles San Diego, CA · 277d · ~$25.9k all-in ($94/day) · score 6.4 San Diego San Jose, CA · 261d · ~$24.2k all-in ($93/day) · score 9.6 San Jose San Francisco, CA · 273d · ~$23.9k all-in ($88/day) · score 9.9 San Francisco Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Livingston
Livingston · 251d · ~$22.9k all-in ($91/day) · score 5.7 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Livingston, CA

Landlording in Livingston, California, presents an elevated-friction market where documented notices and proactive screening matter. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.7/10 (ELEVATED tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Elevated-friction market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Livingston is a city of 14,606 residents where 37.4% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 28.3% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,315/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Livingston eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.5/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Livingston closes 251 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Livingston's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 5.7/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Livingston runs $14,210 to $31,533 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 251 days of typical timeline and $1,315/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 8.3/10 in Livingston, and the city has limited rent control exposure (4.3/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In California, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Livingston: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a ELEVATED tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match California's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $31,533 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Livingston

Trap · 37.4%
37.4% renter share against 14,606 residents produces roughly 5,464 rental occupants in Livingston. Merced County voted D 10.6% in 2020. Eviction filings tend to cluster in the multifamily rental corridor.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Livingston for a minor lease violation?

Not usually for a "minor" violation. California's just-cause eviction laws mean the violation needs to be significant enough to qualify as a breach of the lease that cannot be cured, or a specific "just cause" reason like criminal activity on the property. Consult an attorney before issuing a notice for anything other than non-payment of rent.

Q2

Do I have to accept Section 8 tenants in Livingston?

Yes. California has statewide source-of-income protection. This means you cannot refuse to rent to someone solely because they use a Section 8 voucher or other lawful source of income. You must apply the same screening criteria to all applicants, regardless of their income source.

Q3

How much notice do I need to give if I want to raise the rent?

For a rent increase of 10% or less over a 12-month period, you need to provide at least 30 days' written notice. If the increase is more than 10%, you must provide at least 90 days' written notice. Remember, rent increases are also subject to California's statewide rent control laws, which limit annual increases to 5% plus the local CPI, capped at 10%. See our California rent control rules.

Q4

What if my tenant refuses to leave after the eviction judgment?

After you receive an unlawful detainer judgment in your favor, you must obtain a Writ of Possession from the court. This writ is then given to the Merced County Sheriff's Department, who will serve the tenant with a 5-day notice to vacate. If they still don't leave, the Sheriff will physically remove them and restore possession of the property to you. You cannot self-help evict or change locks yourself.

Q5

Can I charge a non-refundable application fee?

You can charge a reasonable application fee to cover the actual cost of screening, such as credit reports and background checks. However, this fee is generally considered refundable if you don't actually process the application or if the unit is rented to someone else before their application is processed. It cannot be excessive. California law typically doesn't allow for truly "non-refundable" fees that are not tied to a specific service.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 5.7/10 places Livingston in the 37th percentile of California cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.