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Census Tract · Ranked #1,608 of 84,120 nationally

Merced Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06047001003 · Merced, CA · pop 4,541 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Merced

Census tract 06047001003 covers Merced, home to 4,541 residents. For landlords it grades 6.6/10, an elevated reading. On the national scale it ranks #8,989 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,331 monthly, set against $53,675 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 83% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
8.2
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 44% Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units1,629
Renter share82.7%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate27.8%
Median income$53,675

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#7 of 23 tracts In Merced
Elevated
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 63 tracts In Merced
High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#676 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
National
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#1,608 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Merced and the region

Centroid at 37.3206, -120.4955 · click any tract to drill in

Why Merced scores 8.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Merced
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
27.8% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$1,331 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Merced
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Merced
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Merced
7.8

How Merced compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Merced risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.28.2This tracttract 001003Merced: 8.68.6Mercedparent cityCounty: 6.96.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Merced

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Merced, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Merced County average of 6.0 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 22.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06047001003

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06047001003?

Census tract 06047001003 in Merced scores 8.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06047001003?

Median gross rent is $1,331/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06047001003?

27.8% of residents in tract 06047001003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,541.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06047001003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 97th, minority 84th, housing 86th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06047001003 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06047001003 compare to Merced overall?

Tract 06047001003 scores 8.2/10, lower than the parent city of Merced at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Merced; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Merced

Top eight tracts in Merced ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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