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Census Tract · Ranked #4,119 of 84,120 nationally

Merced Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06047001003 · Merced, CA · pop 4,541 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Merced

With a score of 9/10, tract 06047001003 in Merced, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10.

Risk score
9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 44% Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units1,629
Renter share82.7%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate27.8%
Median income$53,675

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 23 tracts In Merced
High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 63 tracts In Merced
High
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#1,820 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
National
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#4,119 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Merced and the region

Centroid at 37.3206, -120.4955 · click any tract to drill in

Why Merced scores 9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Merced
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
27.8% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$1,331 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Merced
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Merced
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Merced
7.8

How Merced compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Merced risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.0This tracttract 0010037.6Mercedparent city7.1Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Merced

Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 83% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Against the Merced County average of 7.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points. The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 7.8/10. Food insecurity runs 27.2% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 24.5% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.3/10. Nationally it ranks #4,119 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.7/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 47% of renters. Average gross rent is $1,331, close to the Merced average. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $53,675.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06047001003

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06047001003?

Census tract 06047001003 in Merced scores 9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06047001003?

Median gross rent is $1,331/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06047001003?

27.8% of residents in tract 06047001003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,541.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06047001003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 97th, minority 84th, housing 86th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06047001003 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06047001003 compare to Merced overall?

Tract 06047001003 scores 9/10, higher than the parent city of Merced at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Merced; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Merced

Top eight tracts in Merced ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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