Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #947 of 84,120 nationally
Merced Eviction Risk: High
Tract 06047001503 · Merced, CA · pop 5,314
Eviction risk in Merced centers on tract 06047001503, which scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 5,314 residents. It lands near the 94th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
56% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $941 monthly, set against $37,978 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 78% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
8.6
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,325
Renter share77.5%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate41.9%
Median income$37,978
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
National
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Merced and the region
Centroid at 37.2927, -120.4991 · click any tract to drill in
Why Merced scores 8.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Merced
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
41.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$941 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Merced
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Merced
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Merced
7.8
How Merced compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 38.6%Housing insecurity
- 23.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 53.0%Food insecurity
- 54.0%SNAP enrollment
- 26.1%Transit barriers
- 30.5%No health insurance
- 23.0%Frequent mental distress
- 48.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Merced
The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Merced, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Merced County average of 6.0 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 38.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 23.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 06047001503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06047001503?
Census tract 06047001503 in Merced scores 8.6/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06047001503?
Median gross rent is $941/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06047001503?
41.9% of residents in tract 06047001503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,314.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06047001503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 98th, minority 93th, housing 78th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06047001503 struggle to pay rent?
About 38.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06047001503 compare to Merced overall?
Tract 06047001503 scores 8.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Merced at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Merced; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Merced
Top eight tracts in Merced ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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