Lyon Street Eviction Risk: High , Tustin

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. 65% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Orange County average of 51.8%.

SNAP participation runs 35.2% against 15.2% nationally. 84% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $60,677, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Against the Orange County average of 7.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. Housing insecurity runs 31.2% against 14.2% nationally. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.8/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. At $1,960 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Tustin commands.

That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.7/10.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.