Neighborhood · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally

Mabury Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Santa Ana

Tract 06059075504 · Orange, CA · pop 4,001 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 06059075504 sits in the Mabury Park area of Tustin, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.4/10. It is home to 4,001 residents. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

7.4

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 21% Owners 59%

Tract context

Occupied units1,568

Renter share41.2%

SVI overall0.38

Poverty rate8.0%

Median income$108,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Santa Ana and the region

Centroid at 33.7531, -117.8245 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mabury Park scores 7.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Santa Ana

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

8.0% poverty · this tract

2.0

Supply constraint

$2,066 rent vs county FMR

2.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Santa Ana

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Santa Ana

9.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Santa Ana

6.8

How Mabury Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

22%Socioeconomic
35%Household composition
70%Racial/ethnic minority
56%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mabury Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.0%Housing insecurity
5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
11.1%Food insecurity
8.9%SNAP enrollment
6.3%Transit barriers
7.2%No health insurance
15.2%Frequent mental distress
26.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mabury Park

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 2/10. Average gross rent is $2,066, 16% below the Tustin average. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 4.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

48% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Orange County average of 7.0 closely.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $108,750. 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059075504

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059075504?

Census tract 06059075504 in the Mabury Park neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06059075504?

Median gross rent is $2,066/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059075504?

8.0% of residents in tract 06059075504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,001.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059075504?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 35th, minority 70th, housing 56th.

Is tract 06059075504 considered part of Mabury Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059075504 fall within Mabury Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06059075504 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06059075504 compare to Santa Ana overall?

Tract 06059075504 scores 7.4/10, lower than the parent city of Santa Ana at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Ana eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Santa Ana

Top eight tracts in Santa Ana ranked by composite eviction-risk score.