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Neighborhood · Ranked #5,153 of 84,120 nationally

Lyon Street Eviction Risk: High , Tustin

Tract 06059075514 · Orange, CA · pop 3,726 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 8.6/10, tract 06059075514 in the Lyon Street area of Tustin, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,726. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10.

Risk score
8.6
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 28% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,061
Renter share72.8%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate13.1%
Median income$83,133

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Lyon Street
Very Low
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 16 tracts In Tustin
High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#93 of 613 tracts In Orange
High
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#2,397 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tustin and the region

Centroid at 33.7366, -117.8294 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lyon Street scores 8.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tustin
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.1% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$2,042 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tustin
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tustin
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tustin
6.8

How Lyon Street compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lyon Street risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.6This tracttract 0755147.6Tustinparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lyon Street. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lyon Street

Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. Against Orange County at 51.8%, 61% of renters here are cost-burdened.

It sits 1.6 points above the Orange County average of 7.0. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2/10.

Food insecurity runs 28.4% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $2,042, 17% below the Tustin average.

Adults with no health insurance runs 18.6% against 11.3% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 94th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $83,133.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059075514

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059075514?

Census tract 06059075514 in the Lyon Street neighborhood scores 8.6/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059075514?

Median gross rent is $2,042/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059075514?

13.1% of residents in tract 06059075514 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,726.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059075514?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 47th, minority 94th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 06059075514 considered part of Lyon Street?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059075514 fall within Lyon Street (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059075514 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059075514 compare to Tustin overall?

Tract 06059075514 scores 8.6/10, higher than the parent city of Tustin at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tustin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tustin

Top eight tracts in Tustin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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