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Neighborhood · Lake Forest, CA

Lake Park West Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 15,542 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10 · range 5.4–6.1

Lake Park West is a 3-tract neighborhood of Lake Forest, CA, population 15,542. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.8/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 61% against 34.1% citywide, putting Lake Park West 26.8% over its own city.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.6/10. The severe-burden share is 23%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.9/10. Average gross rent is $2,873, 8% above the Lake Forest average of $2,672. Among the 9 mapped neighborhoods of Lake Forest, it ranks #3 by risk, the upper third.

Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Lower Heatherview and Park Place Ranchwood score within a fraction of it.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Its 3 tracts score within 0.7 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $134,216.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Lake Park West vs Lake Forest How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.9% +79%
Lake Forest: 34.1%
Average gross rent
$2,873 +8%
Lake Forest: $2,672
Average HH income
$134,216 +2%
Lake Forest: $131,378
Poverty rate
6.4% -23%
Lake Forest: 8.3%
Renter share
17.9% -39%
Lake Forest: 29.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Park West and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5.4–6.1

Why Lake Park West scores 5.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
18% renter households · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Economic stress
6.4% below poverty line · Range 1.2–2.4 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.7–7.1 across tracts
4.9
Risk score comparison

Lake Park West vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lake Park West score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.8Lake Park WestNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Lake Park West?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.7 points from 5.4 to 6.1. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Lake Park West

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06059052410 6.1 5,069 74% $2,526
06059052411 5.9 4,992 65% $2,536
06059052408 5.4 5,481 45% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 35

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 34%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 25%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 41%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lake Park West

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lake Park West

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lake Park West?

Lake Park West scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lake Park West compare to Lake Forest overall?

Lake Park West scores 0.8 points lower than Lake Forest overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,873 vs $2,672.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lake Park West?

Average gross rent in Lake Park West is $2,873/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lake Park West residents are renters?

18% of Lake Park West households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in Lake Forest). The neighborhood has 15,542 residents.
Q5

Is Lake Park West a high social-vulnerability area?

Lake Park West sits in the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lake Park West have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lake Park West is census tract 06059052410 (score 6.1/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 6.1, a spread of 0.7 points.
Q7

How safe is Lake Park West for landlords?

Lake Park West carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lake Forest as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lake Park West?

Lake Park West has 15,486 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (48.6%), Hispanic / Latino (31%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (15%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lake Park West

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lake Forest

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lake Park West.

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