Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
San Juan Capistrano Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06059042203 · Orange, CA · pop 9,291 · 98% of tract blocks fall in San Juan Capistrano
06059042203 is a census tract in San Juan Capistrano, CA. It scores 5/10 for landlords. Against the Orange County average of 7.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.0 points.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units3,704
Renter share14.2%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$133,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
5
th percentile
Very Low
National
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Juan Capistrano and the region
Centroid at 33.4868, -117.6485 · click any tract to drill in
Why San Juan Capistrano scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from San Juan Capistrano
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$3,168 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Juan Capistrano
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Juan Capistrano
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Juan Capistrano
5.2
How San Juan Capistrano compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.4%Housing insecurity
- 4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.5%Food insecurity
- 7.4%SNAP enrollment
- 5.2%Transit barriers
- 4.9%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 28.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in San Juan Capistrano
Average gross rent is $3,168, 30% above the San Juan Capistrano average. Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.8/10. Cost burden runs 44% here against 51.8% across Orange County.
Food insecurity runs 8.5% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.4% against 15.2% nationally.
Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.5 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $133,500.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06059042203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059042203?
Census tract 06059042203 in San Juan Capistrano scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06059042203?
Median gross rent is $3,168/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06059042203?
7.1% of residents in tract 06059042203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,291.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06059042203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 34th, minority 41th, housing 32th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06059042203 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06059042203 compare to San Juan Capistrano overall?
Tract 06059042203 scores 5/10, lower than the parent city of San Juan Capistrano at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Juan Capistrano; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Juan Capistrano
Top eight tracts in San Juan Capistrano ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related