3 census tracts · pop 14,146 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.8/10
· range 6.5–7.8
Natomas Creek is a 3-tract neighborhood of Sacramento, CA and houses 14,146 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.8/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Against a Sacramento baseline of 32.8%, 45% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Severe burden reaches 25%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.4/10. At $2,304 a month, rents sit 30% over what the rest of Sacramento commands.
Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 8.5/10.
Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 6.5 to 7.8. A 1.3-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Among the 34 mapped neighborhoods of Sacramento, it ranks #33 by risk, the lower third. Only 26% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $125,900.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.3 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Natomas Creek vs SacramentoHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority77%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport31%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Natomas Creek
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
10.4%Housing insecurity
5.4%Utility shutoff threat
11.5%Food insecurity
10.0%SNAP enrollment
6.0%No health insurance
25.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Natomas Creek
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Natomas Creek?
Natomas Creek scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Natomas Creek compare to Sacramento overall?
Natomas Creek scores 1.1 points lower than Sacramento overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $2,304 vs $1,779.
Q3
What is the average rent in Natomas Creek?
Average gross rent in Natomas Creek is $2,304/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Natomas Creek residents are renters?
26% of Natomas Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Sacramento). The neighborhood has 14,146 residents.
Q5
Is Natomas Creek a high social-vulnerability area?
Natomas Creek sits in the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Natomas Creek have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Natomas Creek is census tract 06067007109 (score 7.8/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.5 to 7.8, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q7
How safe is Natomas Creek for landlords?
Natomas Creek carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.8/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Sacramento as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Natomas Creek?
Natomas Creek has 14,810 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (31.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (29.8%), Hispanic / Latino (18.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
