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Neighborhood · Sacramento, CA

South Natomas Eviction Risk: High

6 census tracts · pop 24,565 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8/10 · range 7.1–9.1

South Natomas spans 6 census tracts of Sacramento, CA, population 24,565. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 8/10, in the High tier. Cost burden runs 54% against 32.8% citywide, putting South Natomas 21.4% over its own city.

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10. Severe burden reaches 22%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 8.5/10.

The 6 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 7.1 to 9.1, a 2-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. On the high side is housing-court posture at 8/10.

At $1,634 a month, rents sit 8% under what the rest of Sacramento commands. Among the 34 mapped neighborhoods of Sacramento, it ranks #19 by risk, the middle third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Mangan Park and Golf Course Terrace.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $85,355. 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 8 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
8
High
6 tracts · population-weighted
South Natomas vs Sacramento How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.2% +65%
Sacramento: 32.8%
Average gross rent
$1,634 -8%
Sacramento: $1,779
Average HH income
$85,355 +2%
Sacramento: $83,753
Poverty rate
13.2% -8%
Sacramento: 14.4%
Renter share
51.5% +7%
Sacramento: 48.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Natomas and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 7.1–9.1

Why South Natomas scores 8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
52% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Economic stress
13.2% below poverty line · Range 1.4–9.1 across tracts
3.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.6 across tracts
2.4
Risk score comparison

South Natomas vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Natomas score vs. parent city, state, U.S.South Natomas: 8.08.0South NatomasNeighborhoodParent city: 7.97.9Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in South Natomas?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2 points from 7.1 to 9.1. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

6 tracts in South Natomas

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06067007019 9.1 2,897 60% $1,313
06067007022 8.8 3,226 65% $1,489
06067007011 8.4 6,930 49% $1,725
06067007023 7.6 4,703 74% $1,895
06067007013 7.2 2,968 30% $1,573
06067007012 7.1 3,841 45% $1,562
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 61

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 58%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 52%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 84%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 51%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Natomas

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About South Natomas

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Natomas?

South Natomas scores 8/10 (High tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Natomas compare to Sacramento overall?

South Natomas scores 0.1 points higher than Sacramento overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,634 vs $1,779.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Natomas?

Average gross rent in South Natomas is $1,634/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Natomas residents are renters?

52% of South Natomas households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Sacramento). The neighborhood has 24,565 residents.
Q5

Is South Natomas a high social-vulnerability area?

South Natomas sits in the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in South Natomas have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in South Natomas is census tract 06067007019 (score 9.1/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.1 to 9.1, a spread of 2 points.
Q7

How safe is South Natomas for landlords?

South Natomas carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Sacramento as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of South Natomas?

South Natomas has 24,389 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (39.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (20.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Natomas

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Sacramento

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Natomas.

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