2 census tracts · pop 10,826 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.6/10
· range 7.9–9.3
Northgate spans 2 census tracts of Sacramento, CA, population 10,826. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 8.6/10, in the High tier. Against a Sacramento baseline of 32.8%, 56% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The severe-burden share is 35%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 8.5/10. Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 7.9 to 9.3. A 1.4-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Running hot is housing-court posture at 8/10.
CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 22.1% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 16%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
SNAP participation is 25.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,570, 12% below the Sacramento average of $1,779. Among the 34 mapped neighborhoods of Sacramento, it ranks #11 by risk, the upper third.
For a like-for-like read, Carleton Tract and Granite Regional Park score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $70,947. 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 8.6 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
8.6
High
2 tracts · population-weighted
Northgate vs SacramentoHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority84%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport69%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Northgate
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
22.1%Housing insecurity
11.7%Utility shutoff threat
26.1%Food insecurity
25.2%SNAP enrollment
13.4%No health insurance
34.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Northgate
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Northgate?
Northgate scores 8.6/10 (High tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Northgate compare to Sacramento overall?
Northgate scores 0.7 points higher than Sacramento overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,570 vs $1,779.
Q3
What is the average rent in Northgate?
Average gross rent in Northgate is $1,570/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Northgate residents are renters?
44% of Northgate households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Sacramento). The neighborhood has 10,826 residents.
Q5
Is Northgate a high social-vulnerability area?
Northgate sits in the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Northgate have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Northgate is census tract 06067006705 (score 9.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.9 to 9.3, a spread of 1.4 points.
Q7
How safe is Northgate for landlords?
Northgate carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Sacramento as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Northgate?
Northgate has 10,409 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (33.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
