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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Fruitdale Eviction Risk: High , Chula Vista

Tract 06073010103 · San Diego, CA · pop 6,829 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 9.9/10, tract 06073010103 in the Fruitdale area of San Diego, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,829 residents. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 20% Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units2,238
Renter share59.2%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate24.7%
Median income$57,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Fruitdale
Very High
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#30 of 328 tracts In Chula Vista
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region

Centroid at 32.5996, -117.0958 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fruitdale scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chula Vista
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
24.7% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$1,861 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chula Vista
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chula Vista
7.5

How Fruitdale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fruitdale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.99.9This tracttract 010103Chula Vista: 7.87.8Chula Vistaparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fruitdale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fruitdale

Cost burden runs 67% here against 52.5% across San Diego County. It sits 2.3 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6. Set annual rent against average income of $57,500 and the ratio lands at 39%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10.

The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Housing insecurity runs 25.7% against 14.2% nationally.

At $1,861 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of San Diego commands. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.6% against 11.3% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073010103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073010103?

Census tract 06073010103 in the Fruitdale neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073010103?

Median gross rent is $1,861/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073010103?

24.7% of residents in tract 06073010103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,829.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073010103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 71th, minority 90th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 06073010103 considered part of Fruitdale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073010103 fall within Fruitdale (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073010103 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073010103 compare to Chula Vista overall?

Tract 06073010103 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista

Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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