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Neighborhood · Chula Vista, CA

Fruitdale Eviction Risk: High

2 census tracts · pop 9,090 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.7/10 · range 9–9.9

Fruitdale is a 2-tract neighborhood of Chula Vista, CA, population 9,090. The Eviction Risk Score is 9.7/10, in the High tier. Cost burden runs 63% against 35.4% citywide, putting Fruitdale 27.5% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 32%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1.4/10.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 26.3% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. SNAP participation is 29.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.7/10. Average gross rent is $1,834, 18% below the Chula Vista average of $2,229.

That places it #1 of 16 neighborhoods in Chula Vista. For a like-for-like read, Harbor Side and Boal score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

With little internal variation, 9.7/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
9.7
High
2 tracts · population-weighted
Fruitdale vs Chula Vista How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
62.9% +78%
Chula Vista: 35.4%
Average gross rent
$1,834 -18%
Chula Vista: $2,229
Average HH income
$58,566 -44%
Chula Vista: $105,173
Poverty rate
21.7% +158%
Chula Vista: 8.4%
Renter share
59.3% +48%
Chula Vista: 40.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fruitdale and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 9–9.9

Why Fruitdale scores 9.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–7.5 across tracts
7.3
Rent control risk
63% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.1 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.9–8.0 across tracts
7.7
Tenant organizing strength
59% renter households · Range 7.0–8.1 across tracts
7.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.3–7.5 across tracts
7.2
Economic stress
21.7% below poverty line · Range 3.2–6.2 across tracts
5.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.1–1.5 across tracts
1.4
Risk score comparison

Fruitdale vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Fruitdale score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Fruitdale: 9.79.7FruitdaleNeighborhoodParent city: 7.87.8Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Fruitdale

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06073010103 9.9 6,829 67% $1,861
06073013205 9 2,261 51% $1,754
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 96

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 93%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 65%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 91%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 96%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Fruitdale

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Fruitdale

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Fruitdale?

Fruitdale scores 9.7/10 (High tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Fruitdale compare to Chula Vista overall?

Fruitdale scores 1.9 points higher than Chula Vista overall (7.8/10). Renters spend 63% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,834 vs $2,229.
Q3

What is the average rent in Fruitdale?

Average gross rent in Fruitdale is $1,834/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Fruitdale residents are renters?

59% of Fruitdale households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Chula Vista). The neighborhood has 9,090 residents.
Q5

Is Fruitdale a high social-vulnerability area?

Fruitdale sits in the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Fruitdale have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Fruitdale is census tract 06073010103 (score 9.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 9 to 9.9, a spread of 0.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Fruitdale for landlords?

Fruitdale carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chula Vista as a whole (7.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Fruitdale?

Fruitdale has 8,774 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (79.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (10.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (4.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Fruitdale

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chula Vista

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Fruitdale.

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