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Chula Vista, CA Eviction Risk Score San Diego County · California · Population 276,375 · Updated

5.9 Elevated
★★★ High confidence
55.4%Tenant-law probabilityi
$15,222–40,028Typical eviction costi
288 daysTypical timelinei
1.71%Eviction filing ratei
$2,881HUD 2BR FMR 2025i
$2,229Median gross renti
35.4%Rent burdeni
40.2%Rentersi

Sub-score breakdown

Local political climate
6.5
Dem margin +22.8% in 2020
Regional political climate
6.5
Dem margin +22.8% in 2020
State political climate
6.8
Economic stress
6.6
8.4% poverty · 8.8% unemployed
Supply constraint
8.8
$2,229 median rent · 40.2% renters
Rent-control risk
8.1
35.4% rent burden
Eviction process difficulty
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
8.1
40.2% renters
Housing court bias
6.3
Eviction filing rate (ground truth)
2.7
1.71 filings per 100 renter households (county, latest year)
Voucher gap (market vs HUD FMR)
0.0
Market rent -22.6% vs HUD 2BR FMR ($2,881)

Sub-scores are national percentile rankings (1 = most landlord-friendly, 10 = most tenant-protective) derived from ACS 2023 5-year data, 2020 county presidential margin, and state law weighting. Source: ACS 2023 5-year + Gazetteer 2024.

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About eviction risk in Chula Vista, CA

Chula Vista, CA has an eviction risk score of 5.9 out of 10, placing it in the elevated-risk tier for landlords operating in San Diego County and the state of California. The score combines local political climate, court disposition patterns, cost-of-eviction estimates, tenant organizing strength, and the likelihood of new tenant-protective legislation in the next legislative cycle.

Census ACS 2023 5-year estimates show median gross rent as a percentage of household income is 35.4% — a core driver of eviction filings, because households above 30% of income on rent are statistically more likely to miss a payment after any income shock. Median gross rent in Chula Vista is $2,229/month. About 40.2% of occupied units here are renter-occupied.

Economic stress: poverty rate 8.4%, unemployment 8.8%. Higher values correlate with higher eviction filing rates and longer court timelines.

Political climate: In 2020, San Diego County voted Democratic by 22.8 points — classified as strongly tenant-leaning for purposes of rent-control or just-cause expansion risk.

What this score means for landlords

At 5.9/10, Chula Vista is an elevated-risk environment. Tenant protections are stronger than the national median. Use proactive screening, document notices in writing, and understand your specific just-cause and rent-cap exposure before raising rent or terminating a tenancy.

Nearby Cities — Eviction Risk Comparison

Landlord Guides & Research Tools

Deepen your market research with these ACS-data guides. The metrics powering this score feed directly into each ranking.

Landlord Guides for California

Eviction Costs — California →
Filing fees, attorney fees, lost rent, sheriff lockout
Eviction Process — California →
Step-by-step timeline, notices, statute cites
Rent Control — California →
Statewide caps, local ordinances, just-cause
Tenant Screening — California →
5-point protocol, legal rules, protected classes
Tenant Protections — California →
Just cause, retaliation, habitability, entry