Neighborhood · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally
Carmel Mountain Ranch Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Diego
Tract 06073017034 ·
San Diego, CA · pop 5,484 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 06073017034 covers part of the Carmel Mountain Ranch area of San Diego, CA, and scores 7.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,484. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%Stable renters 17%Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,031
Renter share45.1%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$117,382
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Carmel Mountain Ranch
Very Low
Within parent city
26th percentile
#243 of 328 tracts In San Diego
Low
Within county
47th percentile
#394 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Moderate
Within state
50th percentile
#4,555 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Diego and the region
Centroid at 32.9901, -117.0909 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carmel Mountain Ranch scores 7.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Diego
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,604 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Diego
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Diego
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Diego
7.5
How Carmel Mountain Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
19%Socioeconomic
53%Household composition
60%Racial/ethnic minority
69%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Carmel Mountain Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
9.9%Housing insecurity
4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
10.3%Food insecurity
9.2%SNAP enrollment
6.2%Transit barriers
4.9%No health insurance
15.7%Frequent mental distress
22.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carmel Mountain Ranch
63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the San Diego County average of 52.5%. Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Food insecurity runs 10.3% against 17.8% nationally.
Average gross rent is $2,604, 13% above the San Diego average. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $117,382.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073017034
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073017034?
Census tract 06073017034 in the Carmel Mountain Ranch neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073017034?
Median gross rent is $2,604/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073017034?
2.4% of residents in tract 06073017034 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,484.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073017034?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 53th, minority 60th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 06073017034 considered part of Carmel Mountain Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073017034 fall within Carmel Mountain Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073017034 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073017034 compare to San Diego overall?
Tract 06073017034 scores 7.4/10, lower than the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Diego
Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.