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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Carmel Mountain Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Diego

Tract 06073017035 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,467 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 06073017035 belongs to Carmel Mountain Ranch in San Diego, California. It is home to 3,467 residents and scores 6.1/10, an elevated reading for landlords. It lands near the 79th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,455 a month while the average household earns $129,861 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 66% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 36% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,262
Renter share65.7%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate16.6%
Median income$129,861

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Carmel Mountain Ranch
Very High
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#145 of 328 tracts In San Diego
Elevated
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#240 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Elevated
Within state
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#4,126 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.9750, -117.0989 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carmel Mountain Ranch scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Diego
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
16.6% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$2,455 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Diego
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Diego
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Diego
7.5

How Carmel Mountain Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carmel Mountain Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 017035San Diego: 8.78.7San Diegoparent cityCounty: 5.25.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carmel Mountain Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carmel Mountain Ranch

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Diego eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Diego County average of 5.8 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073017035

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073017035?

Census tract 06073017035 in the Carmel Mountain Ranch neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073017035?

Median gross rent is $2,455/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073017035?

16.6% of residents in tract 06073017035 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,467.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073017035?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 64th, minority 68th, housing 58th.
Q5

Is tract 06073017035 considered part of Carmel Mountain Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073017035 fall within Carmel Mountain Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073017035 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073017035 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073017035 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of San Diego at 8.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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