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Neighborhood · San Diego, CA

Carmel Mountain Ranch Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 8,951 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.8/10 · range 7.4–8.5

Carmel Mountain Ranch is a 2-tract suburb of San Diego, CA, population 8,951. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.8/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 56% against 32.4% citywide, putting Carmel Mountain Ranch 23.8% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 21%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10.

Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 8/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 7.4 to 8.5, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.2/10.

At $2,546 a month, rents sit 10% over what the rest of San Diego commands. 5.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Among the 89 mapped neighborhoods of San Diego, it ranks #54 by risk, the middle third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Skyline and Serra Mesa. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $122,216.

53% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.8 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Carmel Mountain Ranch vs San Diego How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.2% +73%
San Diego: 32.4%
Average gross rent
$2,546 +10%
San Diego: $2,313
Average HH income
$122,216 +17%
San Diego: $104,321
Poverty rate
7.9% -29%
San Diego: 11.1%
Renter share
53.0% +1%
San Diego: 52.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carmel Mountain Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 7.4–8.5

Why Carmel Mountain Ranch scores 7.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
53% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
7.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.1 across tracts
2.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–4.0 across tracts
3.8
Risk score comparison

Carmel Mountain Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Carmel Mountain Ranch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Carmel Mountain Ra: 7.87.8Carmel Mountain RaNeighborhoodParent city: 8.68.6Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Carmel Mountain Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06073017035 8.5 3,467 45% $2,455
06073017034 7.4 5,484 63% $2,604
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 50

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 30%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 57%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 65%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carmel Mountain Ranch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Carmel Mountain Ranch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Carmel Mountain Ranch?

Carmel Mountain Ranch scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Carmel Mountain Ranch compare to San Diego overall?

Carmel Mountain Ranch scores 0.8 points lower than San Diego overall (8.6/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,546 vs $2,313.
Q3

What is the average rent in Carmel Mountain Ranch?

Average gross rent in Carmel Mountain Ranch is $2,546/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Carmel Mountain Ranch residents are renters?

53% of Carmel Mountain Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in San Diego). The neighborhood has 8,951 residents.
Q5

Is Carmel Mountain Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

Carmel Mountain Ranch sits in the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Carmel Mountain Ranch have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Carmel Mountain Ranch is census tract 06073017035 (score 8.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.4 to 8.5, a spread of 1.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Carmel Mountain Ranch for landlords?

Carmel Mountain Ranch carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Diego as a whole (8.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Carmel Mountain Ranch?

Carmel Mountain Ranch has 9,181 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (25.8%), Hispanic / Latino (12.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Carmel Mountain Ranch

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Diego

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carmel Mountain Ranch.

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