2 census tracts · pop 8,951 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.8/10
· range 7.4–8.5
Carmel Mountain Ranch is a 2-tract suburb of San Diego, CA, population 8,951. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.8/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 56% against 32.4% citywide, putting Carmel Mountain Ranch 23.8% over its own city.
Severe burden reaches 21%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10.
Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 8/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 7.4 to 8.5, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.2/10.
At $2,546 a month, rents sit 10% over what the rest of San Diego commands. 5.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.
Among the 89 mapped neighborhoods of San Diego, it ranks #54 by risk, the middle third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Skyline and Serra Mesa. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $122,216.
53% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.8 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Carmel Mountain Ranch vs San DiegoHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport65%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carmel Mountain Ranch
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
10.3%Housing insecurity
5.2%Utility shutoff threat
11.5%Food insecurity
10.6%SNAP enrollment
5.2%No health insurance
23.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Carmel Mountain Ranch
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Carmel Mountain Ranch?
Carmel Mountain Ranch scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Carmel Mountain Ranch compare to San Diego overall?
Carmel Mountain Ranch scores 0.8 points lower than San Diego overall (8.6/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,546 vs $2,313.
Q3
What is the average rent in Carmel Mountain Ranch?
Average gross rent in Carmel Mountain Ranch is $2,546/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Carmel Mountain Ranch residents are renters?
53% of Carmel Mountain Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in San Diego). The neighborhood has 8,951 residents.
Q5
Is Carmel Mountain Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?
Carmel Mountain Ranch sits in the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Carmel Mountain Ranch have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Carmel Mountain Ranch is census tract 06073017035 (score 8.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.4 to 8.5, a spread of 1.1 points.
Q7
How safe is Carmel Mountain Ranch for landlords?
Carmel Mountain Ranch carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Diego as a whole (8.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Carmel Mountain Ranch?
Carmel Mountain Ranch has 9,181 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (25.8%), Hispanic / Latino (12.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.