Neighborhood · Ranked #5,413 of 84,120 nationally

Carmel Mountain Ranch Eviction Risk: High , San Diego

Tract 06073017035 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,467 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

06073017035 is a census tract in the Carmel Mountain Ranch area of San Diego, CA. It scores 8.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,467. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

8.5

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 36% Owners 34%

Tract context

Occupied units1,262

Renter share65.7%

SVI overall0.60

Poverty rate16.6%

Median income$129,861

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.9750, -117.0989 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carmel Mountain Ranch scores 8.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Diego

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

16.6% poverty · this tract

4.1

Supply constraint

$2,455 rent vs county FMR

3.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Diego

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Diego

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Diego

7.5

How Carmel Mountain Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

48%Socioeconomic
64%Household composition
68%Racial/ethnic minority
58%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carmel Mountain Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.9%Housing insecurity
5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
13.5%Food insecurity
12.9%SNAP enrollment
7.5%Transit barriers
5.6%No health insurance
15.5%Frequent mental distress
25.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carmel Mountain Ranch

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

45% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the San Diego County average of 52.5%. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

It sits 0.9 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6. That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Average gross rent is $2,455, close to the San Diego average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $129,861.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073017035

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073017035?

Census tract 06073017035 in the Carmel Mountain Ranch neighborhood scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073017035?

Median gross rent is $2,455/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073017035?

16.6% of residents in tract 06073017035 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,467.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073017035?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 64th, minority 68th, housing 58th.

Is tract 06073017035 considered part of Carmel Mountain Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073017035 fall within Carmel Mountain Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073017035 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073017035 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073017035 scores 8.5/10, right in line with the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.