Little Mogadishu Eviction Risk: High , San Diego

Food insecurity runs 41.0% against 17.8% nationally. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.2/10. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points.

The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. At $1,508 a month, rents run 35% under what the rest of San Diego commands.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. 76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $53,520, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Diego. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.