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Census Tract · Ranked #6,330 of 84,120 nationally

National City Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06073011602 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,031

Tract 06073011602 sits in National City, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.3/10. It is home to 4,031 residents. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.

Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 40% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units1,320
Renter share71.3%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate12.4%
Median income$57,303

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 14 tracts In National City
Low
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#261 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Elevated
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#3,143 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#6,330 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across National City and the region

Centroid at 32.6600, -117.0942 · click any tract to drill in

Why National City scores 8.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from National City
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
12.4% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,577 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from National City
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from National City
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from National City
5.7

How National City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
National City risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.38.3This tracttract 011602National City: 7.07.0National Cityparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in National City

Set annual rent against average income of $57,303 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

43% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the San Diego County average of 52.5%. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.7/10.

Housing insecurity runs 23.8% against 14.2% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.6% against 11.3% nationally. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 3.1/10.

It sits 0.7 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6. Nationally it ranks #6,330 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 9.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073011602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073011602?

Census tract 06073011602 in National City scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073011602?

Median gross rent is $1,577/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073011602?

12.4% of residents in tract 06073011602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,031.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073011602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 74th, minority 89th, housing 100th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06073011602 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06073011602 compare to National City overall?

Tract 06073011602 scores 8.3/10, higher than the parent city of National City at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from National City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in National City

Top eight tracts in National City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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