Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally
Cajon Heights Eviction Risk: High , El Cajon
Tract 06073015901 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,974 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
06073015901 is a census tract in the Cajon Heights area of El Cajon, CA. It scores 9.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,974. The severe-burden share is 45%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 57%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 14%
Tract context
Occupied units1,038
Renter share86.2%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate24.4%
Median income$45,690
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across El Cajon and the region
Centroid at 32.7904, -116.9692 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cajon Heights scores 9.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from El Cajon
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
24.4% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,677 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from El Cajon
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from El Cajon
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from El Cajon
8.5
How Cajon Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 100
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cajon Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 31.8%Housing insecurity
- 18.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 41.0%Food insecurity
- 45.7%SNAP enrollment
- 21.1%Transit barriers
- 18.9%No health insurance
- 23.6%Frequent mental distress
- 40.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cajon Heights
SNAP participation runs 45.7% against 15.2% nationally. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. Set annual rent against average income of $45,690 and the ratio lands at 44%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Against San Diego County at 52.5%, 66% of renters here are cost-burdened. This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.
It sits 1.7 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Average gross rent is $1,677, 10% below the El Cajon average. Nationally it ranks #3,082 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 10/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073015901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073015901?
Census tract 06073015901 in the Cajon Heights neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073015901?
Median gross rent is $1,677/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073015901?
24.4% of residents in tract 06073015901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,974.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073015901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 94th, minority 76th, housing 100th.
Q5
Is tract 06073015901 considered part of Cajon Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073015901 fall within Cajon Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073015901 struggle to pay rent?
About 31.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073015901 compare to El Cajon overall?
Tract 06073015901 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of El Cajon at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from El Cajon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in El Cajon
Top eight tracts in El Cajon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Cajon Heights
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Little Baghdad
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Little Baghdad
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Bostonia
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Little Baghdad
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Hillsdale
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Bostonia
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Bostonia
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
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