Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally
Little Baghdad Eviction Risk: High , El Cajon
Tract 06073015301 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,767 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 06073015301 covers part of the Little Baghdad area of El Cajon, CA, and scores 9.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 67%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,126
Renter share56.2%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate25.4%
Median income$61,282
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across El Cajon and the region
Centroid at 32.7840, -116.9580 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Baghdad scores 9.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from El Cajon
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
25.4% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,935 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from El Cajon
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from El Cajon
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from El Cajon
8.5
How Little Baghdad compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Little Baghdad. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.2%Housing insecurity
- 12.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.0%Food insecurity
- 30.2%SNAP enrollment
- 13.8%Transit barriers
- 10.9%No health insurance
- 20.9%Frequent mental distress
- 35.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Little Baghdad
Against San Diego County at 52.5%, 87% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.1/10.
Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $61,282, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.5/10.
SNAP participation runs 30.2% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Food insecurity runs 26.0% against 17.8% nationally.
Nationally it ranks #3,082 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 6.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073015301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073015301?
Census tract 06073015301 in the Little Baghdad neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073015301?
Median gross rent is $1,935/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 87% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073015301?
25.4% of residents in tract 06073015301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,767.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073015301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 22th, minority 46th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 06073015301 considered part of Little Baghdad?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073015301 fall within Little Baghdad (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073015301 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073015301 compare to El Cajon overall?
Tract 06073015301 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of El Cajon at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from El Cajon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in El Cajon
Top eight tracts in El Cajon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Hillsdale
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Bostonia
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Bostonia
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Hillsdale
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Little Baghdad
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Little Baghdad
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Little Baghdad
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Little Baghdad
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
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