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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,396 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Escondido

Tract 06073020308 · San Diego, CA · pop 6,700 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

For landlords sizing up Downtown in Escondido, census tract 06073020308 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.1/10. It lands near the 79th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,916 a month against an average household income of $51,736 a year, roughly 44% of income at the averages. Renters make up 74% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 33% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units3,056
Renter share74.1%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate15.1%
Median income$51,736

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Downtown
Very Low
Within parent city
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 34 tracts In Escondido
High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#85 of 736 tracts In San Diego
High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#1,980 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Escondido and the region

Centroid at 33.1374, -117.0980 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 7.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Escondido
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
15.1% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,916 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Escondido
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Escondido
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Escondido
7.6

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.17.1This tracttract 020308Escondido: 7.87.8Escondidoparent cityCounty: 5.25.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Escondido eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Diego County average of 5.8 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073020308

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073020308?

Census tract 06073020308 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073020308?

Median gross rent is $1,916/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073020308?

15.1% of residents in tract 06073020308 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,700.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073020308?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 92th, minority 67th, housing 100th.
Q5

Is tract 06073020308 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073020308 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073020308 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073020308 compare to Escondido overall?

Tract 06073020308 scores 7.1/10, lower than the parent city of Escondido at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Escondido eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Escondido

Top eight tracts in Escondido ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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