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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,119 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: High , Escondido

Tract 06073020214 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,880 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 06073020214 sits in the Downtown area of Escondido eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9/10. Population here is 4,880. 37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 63% Stable renters 32% Owners 5%
Tract context
Occupied units1,946
Renter share94.8%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate30.7%
Median income$32,194

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Downtown
Very High
Within parent city
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 34 tracts In Escondido
Very High
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#130 of 736 tracts In San Diego
High
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#1,820 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Escondido and the region

Centroid at 33.1270, -117.0844 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Escondido
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
30.7% poverty · this tract
7.7
Supply constraint
$1,689 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Escondido
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Escondido
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Escondido
7.6

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.09.0This tracttract 020214Escondido: 7.67.6Escondidoparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

Annualized rent equals 63% of average household income of $32,194, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 95% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Against San Diego County at 52.5%, roughly two in three of renters here are cost-burdened.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.

SNAP participation runs 34.1% against 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.8/10.

The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.4 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6. At $1,689 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Escondido commands.

Adults with no health insurance runs 20.8% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.7/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073020214

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073020214?

Census tract 06073020214 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073020214?

Median gross rent is $1,689/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073020214?

30.7% of residents in tract 06073020214 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,880.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073020214?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 73th, minority 82th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 06073020214 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073020214 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073020214 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073020214 compare to Escondido overall?

Tract 06073020214 scores 9/10, higher than the parent city of Escondido at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Escondido eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Escondido

Top eight tracts in Escondido ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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