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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Valencia Park Eviction Risk: High , San Diego

Tract 06073003305 · San Diego, CA · pop 6,904 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 9.9/10, tract 06073003305 in the Valencia Park area of San Diego, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,904. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49% Stable renters 18% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,666
Renter share67.3%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate26.6%
Median income$56,842

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Valencia Park
Elevated
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#44 of 328 tracts In San Diego
High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.6978, -117.0901 · click any tract to drill in

Why Valencia Park scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Diego
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
26.6% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,551 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Diego
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Diego
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Diego
7.5

How Valencia Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Valencia Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.99.9This tracttract 003305San Diego: 8.68.6San Diegoparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Valencia Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Valencia Park

73% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the San Diego County average of 52.5%. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points.

Average gross rent is $1,551, 33% below the San Diego average. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $56,842, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.0% against 11.3% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073003305

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073003305?

Census tract 06073003305 in the Valencia Park neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073003305?

Median gross rent is $1,551/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073003305?

26.6% of residents in tract 06073003305 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,904.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073003305?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 97th, minority 97th, housing 85th.
Q5

Is tract 06073003305 considered part of Valencia Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073003305 fall within Valencia Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073003305 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073003305 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073003305 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06073003305 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 7% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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