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Neighborhood · San Diego, CA

Valencia Park Eviction Risk: High

6 census tracts · pop 27,242 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.4/10 · range 8.7–9.9

Valencia Park is a 6-tract neighborhood of San Diego, CA and houses 27,242 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 9.4/10, High tier. 62% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the San Diego rate of 32.4%.

Severe burden reaches 28%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.2/10. At $1,673 a month, rents sit 28% under what the rest of San Diego commands.

On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 25.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 8/10. The 6 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 8.7 to 9.9, a 1.2-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Food insecurity affects 31.1% of adults, 13.3 points above the national rate.

The poverty rate is 16%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. That places it #9 of 89 neighborhoods in San Diego.

For a like-for-like read, Park Haven and Science Research Park score within a fraction of it.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
9.4
High
6 tracts · population-weighted
Valencia Park vs San Diego How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.7% +90%
San Diego: 32.4%
Average gross rent
$1,673 -28%
San Diego: $2,313
Average HH income
$71,369 -32%
San Diego: $104,321
Poverty rate
16.2% +46%
San Diego: 11.1%
Renter share
54.8% +4%
San Diego: 52.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Valencia Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 8.7–9.9

Why Valencia Park scores 9.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
62% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
55% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
16.2% below poverty line · Range 1.4–6.6 across tracts
4.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.3 across tracts
1.2
Risk score comparison

Valencia Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Valencia Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Valencia Park: 9.49.4Valencia ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 8.68.6Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Valencia Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from 8.7 to 9.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

6 tracts in Valencia Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06073003305 9.9 6,904 73% $1,551
06073003301 9.9 3,631 47% $1,575
06073003304 9.9 3,390 79% $1,718
06073003001 8.9 4,713 29% $1,425
06073003404 8.8 4,528 58% $1,763
06073003101 8.7 4,076 83% $2,114
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 86

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 83%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 80%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 94%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 73%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Valencia Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Valencia Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Valencia Park?

Valencia Park scores 9.4/10 (High tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Valencia Park compare to San Diego overall?

Valencia Park scores 0.8 points higher than San Diego overall (8.6/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,673 vs $2,313.
Q3

What is the average rent in Valencia Park?

Average gross rent in Valencia Park is $1,673/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Valencia Park residents are renters?

55% of Valencia Park households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in San Diego). The neighborhood has 27,242 residents.
Q5

Is Valencia Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Valencia Park sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Valencia Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Valencia Park is census tract 06073003305 (score 9.9/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.7 to 9.9, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Valencia Park for landlords?

Valencia Park carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.4/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Diego as a whole (8.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Valencia Park?

Valencia Park has 26,015 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (55.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (20.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Valencia Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Diego

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Valencia Park.

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