Neighborhood · Ranked #4,393 of 84,120 nationally

Valencia Park Eviction Risk: High , San Diego

Tract 06073003001 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,713 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 06073003001 covers part of the Valencia Park area of San Diego, CA, and scores 8.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Against San Diego County at 52.5%, 29% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

8.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 22% Owners 69%

Tract context

Occupied units1,145

Renter share31.5%

SVI overall0.73

Poverty rate11.2%

Median income$91,397

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.7175, -117.0754 · click any tract to drill in

Why Valencia Park scores 8.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Diego

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

11.2% poverty · this tract

2.8

Supply constraint

$1,425 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Diego

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Diego

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Diego

7.5

How Valencia Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

44%Socioeconomic
78%Household composition
90%Racial/ethnic minority
80%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
100%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Valencia Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.2%Housing insecurity
8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
20.2%Food insecurity
17.9%SNAP enrollment
10.6%Transit barriers
11.3%No health insurance
17.0%Frequent mental distress
28.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Valencia Park

At $1,425 a month, rents run 38% under what the rest of San Diego commands. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. It sits 1.3 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Diego. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 95th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.5/10.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $91,397.

32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073003001

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073003001?

Census tract 06073003001 in the Valencia Park neighborhood scores 8.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073003001?

Median gross rent is $1,425/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073003001?

11.2% of residents in tract 06073003001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,713.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073003001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 78th, minority 90th, housing 80th.

Is tract 06073003001 considered part of Valencia Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073003001 fall within Valencia Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073003001 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073003001 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073003001 scores 8.9/10, higher than the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06073003001 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.