Neighborhood · Ranked #2,438 of 84,120 nationally

Cajon Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , El Cajon

Tract 06073015902 · San Diego, CA · pop 5,473 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 6.3/10, tract 06073015902 in the Cajon Heights area of El Cajon ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 5,473 residents. It lands near the 83rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

65% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 50% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,722 monthly, set against $45,921 in average yearly household income, roughly 45% of income at the averages. About 71% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

7.8

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 25% Owners 29%

Tract context

Occupied units1,760

Renter share71.2%

SVI overall0.89

Poverty rate21.7%

Median income$45,921

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across El Cajon and the region

Centroid at 32.7840, -116.9697 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cajon Heights scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from El Cajon

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

21.7% poverty · this tract

5.4

Supply constraint

$1,722 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from El Cajon

9.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from El Cajon

9.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from El Cajon

8.5

How Cajon Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

91%Socioeconomic
88%Household composition
62%Racial/ethnic minority
71%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Cajon Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.7%Housing insecurity
14.0%Utility-shutoff threat
31.5%Food insecurity
35.5%SNAP enrollment
16.3%Transit barriers
14.2%No health insurance
22.6%Frequent mental distress
38.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cajon Heights

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from El Cajon, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the San Diego County average of 5.8 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073015902

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073015902?

Census tract 06073015902 in the Cajon Heights neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073015902?

Median gross rent is $1,722/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073015902?

21.7% of residents in tract 06073015902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,473.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073015902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 88th, minority 62th, housing 71th.

Is tract 06073015902 considered part of Cajon Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073015902 fall within Cajon Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073015902 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073015902 compare to El Cajon overall?

Tract 06073015902 scores 7.8/10, lower than the parent city of El Cajon at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from El Cajon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in El Cajon

Top eight tracts in El Cajon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.