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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

Cajon Heights Eviction Risk: High , El Cajon

Tract 06073015902 · San Diego, CA · pop 5,473 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

06073015902 is a census tract in the Cajon Heights area of El Cajon, CA. It scores 9.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,473. The severe-burden share is 50%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 25% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units1,760
Renter share71.2%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate21.7%
Median income$45,921

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Cajon Heights
Elevated
Within parent city
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 22 tracts In El Cajon
Low
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#88 of 736 tracts In San Diego
High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#1,347 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across El Cajon and the region

Centroid at 32.7840, -116.9697 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cajon Heights scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from El Cajon
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
21.7% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,722 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from El Cajon
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from El Cajon
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from El Cajon
8.5

How Cajon Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cajon Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.39.3This tracttract 015902El Cajon: 7.97.9El Cajonparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Cajon Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cajon Heights

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. Annualized rent equals 45% of average household income of $45,921, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

SNAP participation runs 35.5% against 15.2% nationally. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.1/10.

roughly two in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the San Diego County average of 52.5%. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.

71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. It sits 1.7 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6. Food insecurity runs 31.5% against 17.8% nationally.

The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Nationally it ranks #3,082 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073015902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073015902?

Census tract 06073015902 in the Cajon Heights neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073015902?

Median gross rent is $1,722/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073015902?

21.7% of residents in tract 06073015902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,473.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073015902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 88th, minority 62th, housing 71th.
Q5

Is tract 06073015902 considered part of Cajon Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073015902 fall within Cajon Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073015902 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073015902 compare to El Cajon overall?

Tract 06073015902 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of El Cajon at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from El Cajon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in El Cajon

Top eight tracts in El Cajon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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