Little Baghdad Eviction Risk: High , El Cajon
Tract 06073015706 · San Diego, CA · pop 2,689 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 06073015706 sits in the Little Baghdad area of El Cajon, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.3/10. It is home to 2,689 residents. Severe burden reaches 43%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across El Cajon and the region
Centroid at 32.7913, -116.9464 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Baghdad scores 9.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Little Baghdad compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 100
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 100%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Little Baghdad. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.8%Housing insecurity
- 15.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.1%Food insecurity
- 42.1%SNAP enrollment
- 18.4%Transit barriers
- 18.0%No health insurance
- 22.3%Frequent mental distress
- 45.0%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Little Baghdad
Annualized rent equals 61% of average household income of $33,640, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. SNAP participation runs 42.1% against 15.2% nationally.
Cost burden runs 69% here against 52.5% across San Diego County. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.1/10.
81% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.
The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.7 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 10/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,724, close to the El Cajon average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 06073015706
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073015706?
What is the average rent in tract 06073015706?
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073015706?
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073015706?
Is tract 06073015706 considered part of Little Baghdad?
What share of households in tract 06073015706 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 06073015706 compare to El Cajon overall?
Highest-risk tracts in El Cajon
Top eight tracts in El Cajon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.