Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

Carlton Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Santee

Tract 06073016616 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,021 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

06073016616 is a census tract in the Carlton Hills area of Santee, CA. It scores 6.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,021. 68% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the San Diego County average of 52.5%.

Risk score

6.6

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 12% Owners 62%

Tract context

Occupied units1,395

Renter share37.8%

SVI overall0.86

Poverty rate4.1%

Median income$75,469

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Santee and the region

Centroid at 32.8315, -116.9929 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carlton Hills scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Santee

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

4.1% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,979 rent vs county FMR

1.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Santee

8.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Santee

6.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Santee

6.7

How Carlton Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

61%Socioeconomic
91%Household composition
63%Racial/ethnic minority
95%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carlton Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.7%Housing insecurity
6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
15.5%Food insecurity
15.5%SNAP enrollment
8.8%Transit barriers
7.9%No health insurance
18.6%Frequent mental distress
30.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carlton Hills

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.8/10.

The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points.

Average gross rent is $1,979, 12% below the Santee average. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $75,469. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073016616

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073016616?

Census tract 06073016616 in the Carlton Hills neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073016616?

Median gross rent is $1,979/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073016616?

4.1% of residents in tract 06073016616 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,021.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073016616?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 91th, minority 63th, housing 95th.

Is tract 06073016616 considered part of Carlton Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073016616 fall within Carlton Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073016616 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073016616 compare to Santee overall?

Tract 06073016616 scores 6.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Santee at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santee; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Santee

Top eight tracts in Santee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.