Census Tract · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Vista Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06073019503 · San Diego, CA · pop 5,148

Tract 06073019503 sits in Vista, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.1/10. Population here is 5,148. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

Risk score

8.1

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 22% Owners 40%

Tract context

Occupied units1,603

Renter share60.0%

SVI overall0.95

Poverty rate10.9%

Median income$82,123

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Vista and the region

Centroid at 33.1996, -117.2444 · click any tract to drill in

Why Vista scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Vista

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

10.9% poverty · this tract

2.7

Supply constraint

$1,963 rent vs county FMR

1.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Vista

7.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Vista

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Vista

6.5

How Vista compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

88%Socioeconomic
81%Household composition
79%Racial/ethnic minority
97%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

21.3%Housing insecurity
9.6%Utility-shutoff threat
24.1%Food insecurity
21.7%SNAP enrollment
12.2%Transit barriers
15.5%No health insurance
19.1%Frequent mental distress
30.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Vista

The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against San Diego County at 52.5%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.8/10. Housing insecurity runs 21.3% against 14.2% nationally.

Average gross rent is $1,963, 13% below the Vista average. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.5/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely.

Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $82,123. 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073019503

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073019503?

Census tract 06073019503 in Vista scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073019503?

Median gross rent is $1,963/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073019503?

10.9% of residents in tract 06073019503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,148.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073019503?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 81th, minority 79th, housing 97th.

What share of households in tract 06073019503 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073019503 compare to Vista overall?

Tract 06073019503 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Vista at 7.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Vista; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Vista

Top eight tracts in Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.