Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #4,393 of 84,120 nationally

Vista Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06073019502 · San Diego, CA · pop 5,994

Census tract 06073019502 covers part of Vista, CA, and scores 8.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 46%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
8.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 30% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units1,547
Renter share77.7%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate18.9%
Median income$60,078

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 21 tracts In Vista
Very High
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#155 of 736 tracts In San Diego
High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#1,974 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
National
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#4,393 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Vista and the region

Centroid at 33.2078, -117.2407 · click any tract to drill in

Why Vista scores 8.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Vista
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
18.9% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,772 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Vista
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Vista
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Vista
6.5

How Vista compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Vista risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.98.9This tracttract 019502Vista: 7.57.5Vistaparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Vista

Food insecurity runs 40.1% against 17.8% nationally. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.2/10. 78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $60,078, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Cost burden runs 61% here against 52.5% across San Diego County.

Adults with no health insurance runs 24.2% against 11.3% nationally. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. At $1,772 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Vista commands.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.8/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

On the national scale it lands near the 95th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073019502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073019502?

Census tract 06073019502 in Vista scores 8.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073019502?

Median gross rent is $1,772/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073019502?

18.9% of residents in tract 06073019502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,994.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073019502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 50th, minority 87th, housing 76th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06073019502 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06073019502 compare to Vista overall?

Tract 06073019502 scores 8.9/10, higher than the parent city of Vista at 7.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Vista; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Vista

Top eight tracts in Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related