Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #4,393 of 84,120 nationally
Vista Eviction Risk: High
Tract 06073019404 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,300 · 95% of tract blocks fall in Vista
Census tract 06073019404 covers part of Vista, CA, and scores 8.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,300. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.
Risk score
8.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units778
Renter share33.4%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate19.0%
Median income$79,896
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
National
95
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Vista and the region
Centroid at 33.2168, -117.2510 · click any tract to drill in
Why Vista scores 8.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Vista
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.0% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$2,123 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Vista
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Vista
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Vista
6.5
How Vista compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.5%Housing insecurity
- 10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.3%Food insecurity
- 23.3%SNAP enrollment
- 13.3%Transit barriers
- 18.9%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 33.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Vista
The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.8/10. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.4/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Housing insecurity runs 23.5% against 14.2% nationally.
Against San Diego County at 52.5%, 48% of renters here are cost-burdened. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.9% against 11.3% nationally.
On the national scale it lands near the 95th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073019404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073019404?
Census tract 06073019404 in Vista scores 8.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073019404?
Median gross rent is $2,123/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073019404?
19.0% of residents in tract 06073019404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,300.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073019404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 64th, minority 87th, housing 59th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06073019404 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06073019404 compare to Vista overall?
Tract 06073019404 scores 8.9/10, higher than the parent city of Vista at 7.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Vista; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Vista
Top eight tracts in Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
06073019502
8.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06073019210
8.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06073019501
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Soltaire
8.4
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06073019205
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06073019503
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Hannalei Hills
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Capistrano
7.9
/ 10 · High
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