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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

Alamo Square Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075016400 · San Francisco, CA · pop 4,162 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

06075016400 is a census tract in the Alamo Square area of San Francisco, CA. It scores 9.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,162. Against San Francisco County at 37.3%, 15% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 72% Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units1,679
Renter share85.2%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$183,281

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Alamo Square
Moderate
Within parent city
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#142 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
Moderate
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#136 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
Moderate
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#1,347 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7751, -122.4370 · click any tract to drill in

Why Alamo Square scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Francisco
9.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$3,003 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Francisco
9.5

How Alamo Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Alamo Square risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.3This tracttract 0164009.9San Franciscoparent city9.5Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Alamo Square

The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10. This is renter territory: 85% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Average gross rent is $3,003, 21% above the San Francisco average.

Food insecurity runs 7.6% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 6.1% against 15.2% nationally. Severe burden reaches 8%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 3.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075016400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075016400?

Census tract 06075016400 in the Alamo Square neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06075016400?

Median gross rent is $3,003/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075016400?

8.7% of residents in tract 06075016400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,162.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075016400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 2th, minority 57th, housing 91th.
Q5

Is tract 06075016400 considered part of Alamo Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075016400 fall within Alamo Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06075016400 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06075016400 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075016400 scores 9.3/10, lower than the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06075016400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 28% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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